It’s the “slow” time of year when keeper league owners are champing at the bit for fantasy hockey talk. Let’s get to some letters.
I plan on starting up a keeper league with about five of my friends next season. This question may be pretty vague, but do you see any players who look like they might really break out next season? Also, what are the chances of Patrick Sharp putting up the same numbers he did this season? Finally, is Jordan Staal going to equal his rookie season points total or do you see him staying as a role player on a Penguins roster with Crosby and Malkin already centering?
Hi Conrad, I have a few breakout candidates in mind. I think Jeff Carter, entering his fourth season, is due in Philadelphia. I also like Sergei Kostitsyn’s production in the playoffs for Montreal. He and his brother, Andrei, could both surprise. With Olli Jokinen in Phoenix, look for Peter Mueller to explode offensively on the wing.
Patrick Sharp has great chemistry with Jonathan Toews and Patrick Kane. I would expect that line to remain intact and Sharp to produce 60-70 points.
Jordan Staal’s sophomore jinx is behind him and he will bounce back with 45-55 points next campaign.
Dobber, I have picked up a few prospects at the draft this year for my keeper league… The problem is I want to trade some players and don’t know their upsides. Could you give me a hand assigning some values to these guys? (My league only counts straight points goals/assists) Steven Stamkos, Nikita Filatov, Kyle Turris, Fabian Brunnstrom. Thanks.
Hi John, I would prefer to own, in order: Turris, Stamkos, Filatov, Brunnstrom. That’s not necessarily in order of highest upside, however. This ranking is a balance between the player’s upside and his likelihood to get there. With unproven kids, the range of ceiling to floor is broad because they have not yet established a production pattern.
I can see Turris being a 90-point player or perhaps even sneaking above the century mark. Stamkos is probably the same, but Turris is on a better team. Filatov may have the highest upside of all of them, but he also has the lowest downside. He’s the wildcard here. As for Brunnstrom, I can see him topping out in the low 70s after a couple of 50-point years first.
A third thing to look at is the season ahead. To make a rough guess, I would say Turris will get 55-60 points, Stamkos will get 70 (because Tampa will play the heck out of him), Filatov will get 45-50 if he makes the Blue Jackets this year and Brunnstrom will get 50-55.
Hey Dobber, I am in a keeper league where goals and assists are worth one point each and are the only categories we measure. I have subscribed to your 2008 Fantasy Prospects report and found it quite useful, but was wondering who your top 10 would be (short-term) based on straight points?
Hi RG, those rankings are based on straight points, so I’ll give you the top 10 prospects who will give you the best short-term results: Steven Stamkos (TB), Kyle Turris (PHO), T.J. Oshie (STL), Patrik Berglund (STL), Derick Brassard (CBJ), Teddy Purcell (LA), Kyle Okposo (NYI), Fabian Brunnstrom (DAL), Shawn Matthias (FLA), and Nikolai Kulemin (TOR).
I like what I see in Phoenix. Who, other than Ed Jovanovski, will be the big point producer on defense? Is Keith Yandle the guy I want in my keeper pool?
Mike, Newmarket, Ont.
In a keeper league, yes, definitely. I would expect Yandle to tally 30-35 points next season, but as he matures his production will rise. The ‘Yotes just cleared a lot of room for him in the Olli Jokinen trade.
Darryl Dobbs’ Fantasy Mailbag will appear on the last Wednesday of every month throughout the playoffs and off-season. The weekly edition will begin again in September. To send the Dobber your question, click HERE.
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