Mid-season drafts are still taking place and we’re also just a few weeks away from the Olympic break. Let’s get to some letters!
Hey Dobber, long-time reader. I have a few questions for you. When is it OK to trade Alex Ovechkin? With the acquisition of Ilya Kovalchuk and Zach Parise, my LWs were unstoppable, but my Cs were weak. After weeks of debating, I pulled the trigger and received Evgeni Malkin, Anze Kopitar and a first round pick in return. Second question is: do you think Dustin Penner will put similar numbers up consistently every year moving forward? I usually run four LW deep and had to acquire another after losing Ovechkin, so I went out and grabbed Penner from another GM for waiver pickups (obviously a non-believer). I ask because I’m debating if he is a keeper over Johan Franzen.
Evan, Oshawa, Ont.
That deal you made is the perfect example of when trading Ovechkin is OK. You are already strong on the left side and you brought in another one of the Big 3 in return. Beautiful!
As for Penner, you may not have liked my ‘musings’ column Tuesday. I think he’ll notch a point every two games in the second half and settle in as a 60- or 70-point player going forward. Is he a better keeper than Franzen? Were it not for Franzen’s fragility, I would say ‘no.’ But Franzen only plays 70 games a year, so Penner is the better keeper.
It is my understanding Jose Theodore’s contract in Washington is up after this season. Now that we’ve had a taste of Michal Neuvirth, would it be safe to assume he will be with the Caps full time next year? If so, what’s your projection on how the time in net would be split between him and Semyon Varlamov?
Frank, Graham, N.C.
You are correct – and I do believe Neuvirth will be with the Caps full time. I think Varlamov will be the starter, but I also think he is a little fragile. As such, he’ll probably be limited to 50 or 55 games and leave the rest for Neuvirth.
Hey Dobber, would you trade Ryan Getzlaf and Zach Parise for Sidney Crosby and Thomas Vanek? We keep one player at each forward position and our format is G, A, +/-, PPP, GWG, SOG, W, GAA, SV% and SO. Should I keep a line of Getzlaf, Parise and Corey Perry, or make the trade? If I make the trade, I have a choice of Crosby, Bobby Ryan and Perry or Crosby, Vanek and Perry going into next year. I feel Getzlaf and Parise are a very high price. Will Bobby Ryan be close to Parise in a year or two? Thanks for your help.
Alex, St. Catharine’s, Ont.
I would do that deal because of Crosby. He is still three or four years away from his best season and when he gets there he will top Getzlaf by 30 points or even more. His PIM are in line with Getzlaf (close enough) and he’s scoring more goals as he ages. Ryan will get within 15 points of Parise at their peaks, but he adds value in other categories. So your loss with Parise to Ryan isn’t as great as your gain from Getzlaf to Crosby.
Hey Darryl, been reading your stuff for a long time. Thought I would finally get involved and send you a fantasy hockey question. Between Jakub Voracek and David Perron, who has the most potential? Do you see either being a 100-point guy someday?
Hi Abe, I think Voracek will probably be an 85-point player, though he certainly has the skills to push that to 95 in the right situation in his prime. Perron will probably be a 75-point player with an upside in the low-80s.
In a H2H keeper pool that scores G, A, +/-, PIM, PPP, SHP, GWG, W, SV% and SO. I need to choose two keepers from this list: Patrick Kane, Nicklas Backstrom (WSH) and Henrik Lundqvist (notable exclusions are: Brad Richards, Bobby Ryan, Anze Kopitar, Shea Weber, Zdeno Chara). Should I go for the forwards since they score in seven out of 10 categories? Also, I was thinking of trying to get Malkin while his value is a bit lower, would it be worth trying Backstrom (WSH) for Malkin? I know you love fourth year players, but is Backstrom set to breakout and top 100? He seems more durable than Malkin and playing with Ovie definitely helps, is it worth it?
I would protect Lundqvist because he is a top three goalkeeper and you won’t be able to draft that. I would give Backstrom the nod over Kane, as his upside is much higher than Kane’s. As for trading him for Malkin – don’t kid yourself: Malkin is a far superior player to Backstrom and his off year doesn’t change that. Malkin could play with you on one wing and me on the other and still get 110 points. If you can make a deal to acquire Malkin that is what you should do.
I’d like your recommendation on a defenseman in the league who is a better second half performer.
Scott Niedermayer, Anaheim – had a 46 percent jump in production last year in the second half.
Mike Green, Washington – has had two straight years of second-half surges of at least 25 percent.
Craig Rivet, Buffalo – has also improved by at least 25 percent in the second half in each of his past two years.
Matt Niskanen, Dallas – had 12 points in the first half of ‘08-09 and 23 points in the second half.
Kris Letang, Pittsburgh – had 13 in the first half and 20 in the second last year.
Paul Martin, New Jersey – has improved by at least 15 percent in each of the past two years in the second half and because he is injured right now, he could be acquired cheap.
Zdeno Chara, Boston – has improved by at least 12 percent in each of the past two seasons in the second half.
Note regarding the Fantasy Mailbag – it is important to indicate whether or not your league is a keeper league or a one-year league. Also note whether the league is “points only”, “standard roto league”, or if there are any uncommon rules that are important to know. This will help in advising you on the right course of action.
Darryl Dobbs’ Fantasy Mailbag will appear every Wednesday throughout the season. To send the Dobber your question, click HERE.
For more great profiles, news and views from the world of hockey, Subscribe to The Hockey News magazine.