


LAS VEGAS -- It all comes down to one game, and before making your wager on what is a near pick'em game, and coupling your side and/or total investment with player props in a same-game parlay, it might be wise to see the "Musts and Busts" of the 4 Nations Face-Off.
The "Musts" are those skaters who have been must considerations based on what they've produced and have been worth the investment at the prices we were offered along the way.
The "Busts" are the exact opposite, who have sucked in square bettors based on expectations, and whether or not you should be wary of them in the gold medal game.
Jake Guentzel (USA) - With three goals and an assist, he's made bettors a ton as an anytime goal scorer and multi-point performer. He has three goals and an assist and is +2 for the event. His 10 shots on goal are tied with three others, just one back of the two 4 Nations leaders - the Tkachuk brothers, Matthew and Brady, each with 11.
Sidney Crosby (Canada) - Can anyone dispute he's been one of the - if not the - brightest storylines of 4 Nations, to do what he's done at 37 years old? He has one goal and a four assists, and with what could very well one of his last couple of times he pulls on a Team Canada jersey, he's a must-consideration to gather a point or two tonight. Stick to points, however, as the assists are more likely to come considering he has just two shots on goal.
Zach Werenski (USA) - While the Columbus Blue Jackets have endured a herky-jerky season, Werenski is tied with Crosby for a 4 Nations high five points with five assists from the blue line. Depending on who's on the forward line joining his pair on the ice, blasts from the point have a very good chance to get deflected by Canada goaltender Jordan Binnington.
Connor McDavid (Canada) - It would be disrespectful to ignore his presence. He has two goals and two assists in the first three games, and if there is one person who will be itching to lift his team it's the widely proclaimed greatest player in the world. Anyone who watched Prime Video's Faceoff knows how much the Stanley Cup loss to Florida still stings, and though this isn't the Cup, it's something McDavid can take pride in heading into the final stretch of the season.
Brad Marchand (Canada) - Through three games, Marchand has just one point, a goal, and nothing more for the Canadians. That said, his bust status could come to an end tonight with the gold medal game being played in his barn. Knowing every nook and cranny at TD Garden, and how the ice plays, Marchand might have saved his best game for last.
Mark Stone (Canada) - The Golden Knights captain has one goal and nothing more in the event, having played all three games. He also is +2 in the plus-minus department, and one of the world's best defensive forwards might be one to watch. Remember Game 5 of the Stanley Cup Final, with the Knights leading Florida 3-1 in the series? Stone opened the scoring with a shorty, scored his second goal in the middle period, and completed the hatty with an empty-net goal in the third. Another title game for Stone could see him erupt.
Auston Matthews (USA) - Just one assist in this event for the captain, and can't say it's a shock. Matthews missed the game against Sweden, marking the third time he's dealt with an injury this season. During the regular season, he's played the fewest games (40) of his career through Toronto's first 55 games, and as a result, his point production has been down, with just 45 points. His 1.13 points per game this season is third-lowest of his career through 55 games. In 4 Nations, he has just one assist. Be wary of Matthews.
Jack Hughes (USA) - This was billed as much more than a bonding experience for the center. A coming-out party, maybe? Playing alongside, and against, the greatest players in the world. Could he have a breakout tourney? He is +2 and has fired 10 shots on goal, but he has just one assist. He's had impressive play on defense and been in the right spots to do the little things that don't show up on the stat sheet. And to be fair, Team USA doesn't need Hughes to do what the Devils need him to do. But with no pressure on him, he finally might see his first goal of the tournament. Or, at the very least, an assist.