The Vancouver Canucks have 10 games left in the 2024–25 regular season and still have a chance at making the Stanley Cup Playoffs. With the St. Louis Blues, Calgary Flames, and Utah Hockey Club still in the mix, the next few games will likely clarify the playoff picture much more. This is not a rare situation for this team to be in, as more often than not they have found themselves in a last-minute playoff race to end their season in the past five years. Let’s look back at the Canucks at the final 10 games point of the past five seasons.
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2024–25
Season record: 34–26–12, 80 points
Highest points-getter: Quinn Hughes (68)
Most goals: Brock Boeser and Jake DeBrusk (23)
Most assists: Quinn Hughes (52)
Aside from the 2020–21 regular season, which only lasted 56 games, this season was the most offensively stagnant one for the Canucks on an individual level by the 10-game mark. At the same time, they are arguably in the worst spot of these five seasons in the sense that injuries have depleted their lineup. They are currently without Elias Pettersson, Filip Chytil, Nils Höglander, and Kevin Lankinen, and six of their final 10 games are against teams currently in a playoff spot. They are currently 21st in the league in GF with 203 and 20th with 218. Intriguingly, they are the third-lowest team in expected goals-for with 191.59, meaning that they are actually producing at a higher rate than what’s expected of them. As well, they are letting in more goals than what they actually should be, as their xGA is the fifth-lowest in the NHL at 199.93.
2023–24
Season record: 45–19–8, 98 points
Highest points-getter: J.T. Miller (91)
Most goals: Brock Boeser (37)
Most assists: Quinn Hughes (68)
With the uncontested best record of a Canucks team from the past five years, the 2023–24 Canucks were only a short ways away from clinching a playoff spot. Other than concerns over Thatcher Demko and Elias Lindholm’s recovery time, there weren’t many dim spots on their season compared to other years. Their situation was far away from some of the wild card battles of seasons prior. On March 27, 2024, a couple of days after their 72nd game of the season, Vancouver sat atop the Pacific Division by eight points, and fourth in the entire NHL. They were also fourth in the league in both highest GF with 251 and lowest GA with 190. Despite this, their xGF of 228.49 put them at 14th in the NHL, while their xGA of 206.46 had them at sixth.
2022–23
Season record: 33–34–5, 71 points
Highest points-getter: Elias Pettersson (91)
Most goals: Andrei Kuzmenko (35)
Most assists: Quinn Hughes (63)
By the 10 game mark of the 2022–23 regular season, the Canucks were 14 points out of a playoff spot. Fans were slightly confused by the team’s trajectory at this point, as the team had seemed to be pushing for a rebuild by trading former captain Bo Horvat to the New York Islanders. However, they also acquired defenseman Filip Hronek for one of the picks involved in the Horvat trade before the trade deadline. At the Canucks’ 10-game mark, they sat 12th in the Western Conference, in line behind the Blues, the Nashville Predators, and the Flames for the final wild card spot held by the Winnipeg Jets. In terms of GF and GA, they placed 12th (241) and 27th lowest (263) respectively. Based on expectations, their offense performed better than expected, as their xGF was 217.22 (22nd in the NHL), while their xGA was lower than what it actually was (224.91, 15th in NHL).
2021–22
Season record: 34–28–10, 78 points
Highest points-getter: J.T. Miller (85)
Most goals: Bo Horvat (30)
Most assists: J.T. Miller (56)
The 2021–22 Canucks more closely resemble the 2024–25 Canucks than the seasons between them did. In the final 10 games of the 2021–22 regular season, Vancouver had 78 points and sat behind the Vegas Golden Knights at 10th in the conference. They were six points away from the final wild card spot-holding Dallas Stars, and ahead of the Jets by only a point. At the time, they had a 19th-placed GF of 205 and a 10th-lowest GA of 201. Their xGF showed that their offense was performing worse than expected, as their xGF sat 15th in the NHL at 204.71. On the other hand, their xGA showed that they should have been letting in more goals, as they sat at 20th in the league with 211.44.
2020–21
Season record: 19–24–3, 41 points
Highest points-getter: Brock Boeser (38)
Most goals: Brock Boeser (18)
Most assists: Quinn Hughes (32)
The 2020–21 regular season was a strange one, as the COVID-19 pandemic not only shortened the season to 56 games, but also caused multiple pauses throughout and a complete reorganization of the divisions. Vancouver was in a difficult position by the 10-game mark, as they had missed nearly a month of play due to a COVID-19 outbreak within the locker room. As a result, by the time they reached the 10-game point in their season, other teams had already begun to wrap theirs up. At the time, they were last in the Scotia North Division with 41 points in 46 games played, meaning that any playoff hopes were pretty far away. Because of the discrepancies in their games played, it’s hard to measure them compared to teams that played virtually eight games more than them. When examining a general 10-game point for the rest of the league, around late April, Vancouver’s GF of 119 would have put them at 23rd in the NHL. Expectations-wise, their xGF of 118.76 pretty much mimicked what they were actually producing, placing them at 14th in the league around the same time as the other teams’ last 10 games. Their GA of 151 would have had them tied with the Detroit Red Wings for 26th-lowest in the league, the expectations of which weren’t too far away at 148.93 (32nd in the NHL).
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