Skip to main content

Best NHL Player Prop Bets Today: Alex Killorn To Get On Scoresheet

The Colorado Avalanche are still massive favorites to win the Stanley Cup, but Alex Killorn might be the most interesting bet ahead of Game 4.
  • Author:
  • Publish date:
Alex Killorn

This content was produced by The Hockey News' sponsor, BetMGM.

The Colorado Avalanche are still massive favorites (-300) to win the series according to NHL odds, while NHL betting lines have Game 4 as a toss-up. Both teams are -110.

While those are two worthwhile bets to consider, don’t forget about player props.

Alex Killorn – Over 0.5 Points (+125)

The Lightning’s top line of Steven Stamkos, Ondrej Palat, and Nikita Kucherov carried the offensive burden on Monday night. The trio combined for six points, helping the Bolts cut the series lead in half. However, the second line could be on the verge of a breakout performance.

Tampa’s second unit is led by Alex Killorn, who played the second-most minutes at five-on-five in Game 3. The 25-goal scorer has been a valuable contributor on both ends of the ice but possesses above-average offensive abilities. Through 20 playoff games, Killorn has put together a 51.1% expected goals-for rating despite starting just 41.6% of his shifts in the attacking zone.

Moreover, the right-winger’s actual goals-for rating of 45.2% is below expected, which is also reflected in his goals total. Killorn has been on the ice for 14 goals, well below his expected total of 20, and recording points on just four tallies.

It hasn’t been a productive start to the postseason for Killorn, but he remains an offensive leader for the Lightning. The prop market has shifted away from him, but at +125, now is the time to back Killorn to go over his 0.5-point total.

Steven Stamkos – Over 0.5 Points (-200)

If the Lightning have any hope of equalizing the series, they need their best players to step up, starting with Stamkos. Tampa’s captain led all forwards in ice-time in Game 3 and should duplicate his two-point performance on Wednesday.

The analytics validate Stamkos’s ongoing success. The two-time Rocket Richard Trophy winner sits second among Lightning forwards with 266 scoring and 115 high-danger chances, leading to the second-highest expected goals-for total. Tampa continues to deploy Stamkos under ideal circumstances, with 70.7% of his zone starts coming in the offensive end and giving him a healthy dose of powerplay time. On Monday night, Stamkos led all skaters with 6:52 on the man advantage, facilitating five shots on target.

Tampa’s success runs through their top line, meaning Stamkos needs to deliver again in Game 4. The advanced metrics support ongoing production from Stamkos, and that’s also reflected in the -200 price on his point prop. A steep price shouldn’t prevent bettors from taking the over.

NHL Parlay Picks at BetMGM

BetMGM has you covered not only during the Stanley Cup playoffs, but throughout the NHL season. But the NHL playoffs are the perfect time for making NHL parlay picks in between examining the latest Stanley Cup betting odds.

TOP HEADLINES

USATSI_18572509

There's a Lot to Be Thankful for This NHL Season

With the Stanley Cup set to be awarded in short order, it's as good of a time as any to look back at the return of a full NHL season, and say “thank you” to all the people who made it happen.

USATSI_18590682

The Avalance Are Stealing the Lightning's Narrative

The Tampa Bay Lightning may be known for their ability to respond to a loss. But the Colorado Avalanche have taken that narrative and run with it, leading them to within one win of the Stanley Cup.

USATSI_18579030

The Lightning Know it Best: 'We Have to Play Like There's No Tomorrow'

The Tampa Bay Lightning have no mulligans left in the tank, but they're hoping to take the momentum and force Game 7 -- and we know all too well how good the Bolts are in elimination games.