• Powered by Roundtable
    Matt Larkin
    Feb 4, 2022, 16:33

    Which breakouts are for real? Who are the key sell highs and buy lows? Use these rankings for your hockey pool stretch-run homework during the all-star break.

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    And…breathe. The NHL all-star break has arrived, meaning we can all take a few days to lick our wounds and take stock of our fantasy teams while we watch NHLers play target-shooting blackjack.

    To help you assess what to do in the stretch run, I’ve re-ranked my top 250 fantasy players of 2021-22. With roughly half a season of data, it’s time to recalibrate values league-wide. Some fantasy superstars remain just that. Some have disappointed but are destined to rebound in the second half. Others have disappointed but might not bounce back. Meanwhile, some shocking breakouts look sustainable while others don’t.

    Whereas I provide a mini-bio on each player for the pre-draft rankings, I get down to business with a stripped down version here for easier mid-season reading. Players whose rankings might spark controversy, questions or discussion get additional ink below.

    The rankings are based on the following fantasy-league categories: goals, assists, plus-minus, shots, power-play points, hits, blocks, wins, saves, goals-against average, save percentage and shutouts.

    Asterisks indicate players who are in COVID-19 protocol or currently injured but still likely to return in time for the fantasy playoffs. Their rankings have been downgraded to varying degrees based on recovery timelines.

    As always, tweet me @THNMattLarkin if you notice a glaring omission from the list. During my cutting and pasting as I rearrange rankings, I occasionally chop a big name out by accident.

    And now, the rankings. Good luck in the second half of your fantasy seasons!

    1. Leon Draisaitl, C, Oilers

    2. Connor McDavid, C, Oilers

    3. Auston Matthews, C, Maple Leafs

    4. Alex Ovechkin, LW, Capitals*

    5. Nathan MacKinnon, C, Avalanche*

    6. Mikko Rantanen, RW, Avalanche

    7. Andrei Vasilevskiy, G, Lightning

    8. Jonathan Huberdeau, LW, Panthers

    9. Brad Marchand, LW, Bruins

    10. Kirill Kaprizov, LW, Wild

    11. Artemi Panarin, LW, Rangers

    12. Cale Makar, D, Avalanche

    13. Nikita Kucherov, RW, Lightning*

    14. David Pastrnak, RW, Bruins

    15. Aleksander Barkov, C, Panthers

    16. Igor Shesterkin, G, Rangers

    17. Mitch Marner, RW, Maple Leafs

    18. Johnny Gaudreau, LW, Flames

    19. Jake Guentzel, LW, Penguins

    20. Adam Fox, D, Rangers*

    21. Matthew Tkachuk, RW, Flames

    22. Sebastian Aho, C, Hurricanes

    23. Steven Stamkos, C, Lightning

    24. Roman Josi, D, Predators

    25. Jacob Markstrom, G, Flames

    26. Victor Hedman, D, Lightning

    27. Sidney Crosby, C, Penguins

    28. Mika Zibanejad, C, Rangers

    29. Patrick Kane, RW, Blackhawks

    30. Kyle Connor, LW, Jets

    31. Gabriel Landeskog, LW, Avalanche

    32. Andrei Svechnikov, LW, Hurricanes

    33. Aaron Ekblad, D, Panthers

    34. Juuse Saros, G, Predators

    35. Nazem Kadri, C, Avalanche

    36. Timo Meier, RW, Sharks

    37. Morgan Rielly, D, Maple Leafs

    38. John Tavares, C, Maple Leafs

    39. Chris Kreider, LW, Rangers

    40. Brady Tkachuk, LW, Senators

    41. Robin Lehner, G, Golden Knights

    42. John Carlson, D, Capitals

    43. Brayden Point, C, Lightning

    44. Patrice Bergeron, C, Bruins

    45. Bryan Rust, RW, Penguins

    46. Ilya Sorokin, G, Islanders

    47. Shea Theodore, D, Golden Knights

    48. Frederik Andersen, G, Hurricanes

    49. Roope Hintz, C, Stars

    50. Max Pacioretty, LW, Golden Knights

    In the fantasy realm, Draisaitl keeps up with the godlike McDavid, and Draisaitl has the goals edge…Vasilevskiy remains the closest thing to a cheat code at goalie because he mixes great rate stats with great volume…Huberdeau is a certified stud, but his NHL scoring lead is a bit deceiving, as the Panthers have played a league-high 47 games…Kucherov is a top-five talent but has battled health woes over the past two seasons and is a candidate for load management down the stretch as the Bolts prepare to chase a three-peat…the amazingly quick Shesterkin looks like the best goalie on Earth right now but can’t usurp ‘Vasy’ for fantasy top dog without a volume increase…Don’t sell high on Markstrom. He plays a ton, his team deploys lockdown defense, and he’s doing exactly what I predicted he’d do this year…Too low for Kadri? Hey, I ranked him 137th heading into this season. I’ve priced his career year into his current rank. He should remain a beast but might regress a tiny bit if MacKinnon can get healthy…Kreider’s shooting percentage is unsustainable, but his shots and hits contributions will keep his value high even when his scoring regresses…Sorokin, like Shesterkin, is an all-world talent who just needs a bit more volume to reach God Mode in fantasy…Hintz is almost interchangeable with his liney Jason Robertson, but I give Hintz the edge since he shoots more.

    51. Jason Robertson, LW, Stars

    52. Connor Hellebuyck, G, Jets

    53. Alex DeBrincat, LW, Blackhawks

    54. Thatcher Demko, G, Canucks

    55. J.T. Miller, C, Canucks

    56. Mark Stone, RW, Golden Knights

    57. Dougie Hamilton, D, Devils*

    58. Filip Forsberg, LW, Predators

    59. Darnell Nurse, D, Oilers

    60. Joe Pavelski, RW, Stars

    61. William Nylander, RW, Maple Leafs

    62. Sam Reinhart, RW, Panthers

    63. Jack Campbell, G, Maple Leafs

    64. Kris Letang, D, Penguins

    65. Dylan Larkin, C, Red Wings

    66. Vladimir Tarasenko, RW, Blues

    67. Anze Kopitar, C, Kings

    68. Pierre-Luc Dubois, C, Jets

    69. Jack Hughes, C, Devils

    70. Sergei Bobrovsky, G, Panthers

    71. Darcy Kuemper, G, Avalanche

    72. Evgeny Kuznetsov, C, Capitals

    73. Jack Eichel, C, Golden Knights*

    74. John Gibson, G, Ducks

    75. Elias Lindholm, C, Flames

    76. Quinn Hughes, D, Canucks

    77. Devon Toews, D, Avalanche

    78. Jordan Kyrou, RW, Blues

    79. Mathew Barzal, C, Islanders

    80. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, LW, Oilers

    81. Mark Scheifele, C, Jets

    82. Evgeni Malkin, C, Penguins

    83. Tristan Jarry, G, Penguins

    84. Patrik Laine, RW, Blue Jackets

    85. Trevor Zegras, C, Ducks

    86. MacKenzie Weegar, D, Panthers

    87. Charlie McAvoy, D, Bruins

    88. Marc-Andre Fleury, G, Blackhawks

    89. Elias Pettersson, C, Canucks

    90. Jacob Trouba, D, Rangers

    91. Tony DeAngelo, D, Hurricanes

    92. Jonathan Marchessault, LW, Golden Knights

    93. Tomas Hertl, C, Sharks

    94. Teuvo Teravainen, RW, Hurricanes*

    95. Alex Pietrangelo, D, Golden Knights

    96. Seth Jones, D, Blackhawks

    97. Troy Terry, RW, Ducks

    98. Mats Zuccarello, RW, Wild

    99. Sam Bennett, C, Panthers

    100. Kevin Fiala, LW, Wild

    It feels wrong ranking the workhorse Hellebuyck this low, but the team support just isn’t there right now…Stone remains an incredible real-life hockey player who is overrated in fantasy. He’s a stud in only two categories…I’m digging my heels in with a still-high Nurse rank because he contributes in so many categories…Letang has played 95 percent of Pittsburgh’s games in the past two seasons. Is it time to ditch the injury-prone label?…Eichel’s return is imminent. He’ll probably have some early rust. He’s paradoxical in that I can see the argument to buy low (hasn’t played in a year) or to sell high (hasn’t played in a year)…Toews’ past 82 games: 15 goals, 60 points, plus-59, 195 shots…he’s a star, hidden under Makar’s shadow…Malkin looks like his old self since returning from knee surgery. Great. Now trade him before the next injury…As you can imagine, I’ve ranked Fleury with the expectation he ends 2021-22 on a new, better team…Trouba is having the all-encompassing stat compiler season I expected from Jakob Chychrun…Remember, you don’t have to like Tony DeAngelo to acknowledge he’s quite the offensive force in a hockey pool…Terry is a great story but an obvious sell high. He’s scored on more than 25 percent of his shots.

    101. Carter Verhaeghe, LW, Panthers

    102. Evander Kane, LW, Oilers

    103. Zach Hyman, LW, Oilers

    104. Pavel Buchnevich, RW, Blues

    105. Drew Doughty, D, Kings

    106. Anthony Duclair, RW, Panthers

    107. Lucas Raymond, RW, Red Wings

    108. Thomas Chabot, D, Senators

    109 Claude Giroux, C, Flyers

    110. Tom Wilson, RW, Capitals

    111. Miro Heiskanen, D, Stars

    112. Kaapo Kahkonen, G, Wild

    113. Brent Burns, D, Sharks

    114. Andre Burakovsky, RW, Avalanche

    115. Taylor Hall, LW, Bruins

    116. Torey Krug, D, Blues

    117. Ryan Hartman, C, Wild

    118. Ville Husso, G, Blues

    119. Matt Duchene, RW, Predators

    120. Joel Eriksson Ek, C, Wild

    121. Tyler Bertuzzi, LW, Red Wings

    122. Vincent Trocheck, C, Hurricanes

    123. Zach Werenski, D, Blue Jackets

    124. Clayton Keller, LW, Coyotes

    125. Cam Atkinson, RW, Flyers

    126. Jake Oettinger, G, Stars

    127. Jared McCann, C, Kraken

    128. Andrew Mangiapane, LW, Flames

    129. Brayden Schenn, C, Blues

    130. Viktor Arvidsson, RW, Kings

    131. Nicklas Backstrom, C, Capitals

    132. Cam Talbot, G, Wild

    133. Moritz Seider, D, Red Wings

    134. Alex Killorn, LW, Lightning

    135. Ondrej Palat, LW, Lightning

    136. Ryan O’Reilly, C, Blues

    137. Jesper Bratt, RW, Devils

    138. Semyon Varlamov, G, Islanders

    139. Tuukka Rask, G, Bruins*

    140. Ryan Strome, C, Rangers

    141. Jordan Binnington, G, Blues

    142. Anton Lundell, C, Panthers

    143. Tyler Toffoli, RW, Canadiens

    144. Michael Bunting, LW, Maple Leafs

    145. Rasmus Dahlin, D, Sabres

    146. Neal Pionk, D, Jets

    147. Bo Horvat, C, Canucks

    148. Logan Couture, C, Sharks

    149. Chandler Stephenson, C, Golden Knights*

    150. Josh Norris, C, Senators*


    Tell me I’ve ranked Kane 50 spots too high or 50 spots too low, and I won’t blame you. He’s the most volatile player in the league for the stretch run. He could be a top-25 player from here on out or off the team in a month because of a new off-ice transgression…Doughty breaks my brain in that he was perpetually overrated in fantasy and now, supposedly past his real-life prime, he’s posting better fantasy numbers than ever…Duclair has played 82 games in a Panthers uniform now, during which he’s racked up 29 goals and 67 points…I’m betting on Kahkonen and Husso to beat out their veteran partners and become important fantasy goalies in the second half…maybe I have Hartman too low, but his breakout is so shocking that I’m unsure whether it’s for real yet…I’m bearish on Rask going forward. Even if he gets healthy, the Bruins won’t give him more than half the team’s starts. He, Linus Ullmark and Jeremy Swayman will cannibalize each other’s values…Toffoli has quietly corrected course on a disastrous Habs team with 16 points in his past 14 games and is available in more than half of Yahoo leagues…you’re justified in worrying that Eichel will eventually damage Stephenson’s value.

    151. Ilya Samsonov, G, Capitals

    152. Vitek Vanecek, G, Capitals*

    153. Nikolaj Ehlers, LW, Jets*

    154. Tim Stutzle, LW, Senators

    155. Linus Ullmark, G, Bruins

    156. Tyler Seguin, C, Stars

    157. Alex Tuch, RW, Sabres

    158. Matt Boldy, RW, Wild

    159. Evan Bouchard, D, Oilers

    160. Carter Hart, G, Flyers

    161. David Perron, RW, Blues

    162. Mike Smith, G, Oilers

    163. Braden Holtby, G, Stars*

    164. John Klingberg, D, Stars

    165. Drake Batherson, RW, Senators*

    166. Jakob Chychrun, D, Coyotes

    167. Reilly Smith, RW, Golden Knights

    168. Marcus Foligno, LW, Wild*

    169. Oliver Bjorkstrand, RW, Blue Jackets

    170. Tage Thompson, C, Sabres

    171. Boone Jenner, C, Blue Jackets

    172. Blake Coleman, RW, Flames

    173. Anthony Cirelli, C, Lightning

    174. Nick Suzuki, C, Canadiens

    175. Adrian Kempe, RW, Kings

    176. Brock Nelson, C, Islanders

    177. Mason Marchment, LW, Panthers

    178. Radko Gudas, D, Panthers

    179. Alex Nedeljkovic, G, Red Wings

    180. Noah Dobson, D, Islanders

    181. Samuel Girard, D, Avalanche

    182. Matt Dumba, D, Wild*

    183. Mikael Granlund, C, Predators

    184. Nico Hischier, C, Devils

    185. Cal Petersen, G, Kings

    186. Jonathan Quick, G, Kings

    187. James Reimer, G, Sharks

    188. Valeri Nichushkin, RW, Avalanche

    189. Pavel Francouz, G, Avalanche

    190. T.J. Oshie, RW, Capitals*

    191. Yanni Gourde, C, Kraken

    192. Jakub Vrana, LW, Red Wings*

    193. Tanner Jeannot, RW, Predators

    194. Brandon Saad, LW, Blues

    195. Robert Thomas, C, Blues

    196. Jordan Eberle, RW, Kraken

    197. Alex Formenton, LW, Senators

    198. Josh Anderson, RW, Canadiens

    199. Martin Necas, RW, Hurricanes

    200. Phil Kessel, RW, Coyotes

    It’s a bummer to see neither Capitals goaltender separate from the other. It suppresses their rankings, as do the rumors of Washington pursuing a goalie upgrade before the trade deadline…Ehlers and Batherson are a ways from returning but are obvious top-100 assets at worst when healthy. If you’re in first place, acquire ’em and stash ’em…Boldy scored and scored and scored at every level during his rise to the NHL. I don’t consider his sizzling start a fluke at all…Marchment’s six-point night gives him 23 points in 22 games this season. The production warrants a much higher rank in theory, but the sample size is small, his prospect pedigree isn’t elite (undrafted), and he’s playing on the third line…Gudas is only really an asset in hits, but he’s so superhman in that category that he wins it for you singlehandedly. He averages 372 per 82 games over the past two seasons. That would qualify as the third-highest total in NHL history…Be sure to track Vrana’s recovery from shoulder surgery closely…he was en fuego after being traded to Detroit last season, ripping off eight goals in 11 games. He can be a difference maker for your team…Necas has been one of 2021-22’s biggest disappointments. His per-game production is down across the board.

    201. Rickard Rakell, RW, Ducks

    202. Conor Garland, RW, Canucks

    203. Jesse Puljujarvi, RW, Oilers

    204. Ivan Barbashev, LW, Blues

    205. Sean Couturier*, C, Flyers

    206. Jeff Carter, C, Penguins

    207. Ryan Johansen, C, Predators

    208. Luke Kunin, RW, Predators

    209. Nathan Bastian, RW, Devils

    210. Seth Jarvis, RW, Hurricanes

    211. Brendan Gallagher, RW, Canadiens

    212. Nino Niederreiter, LW, Hurricanes

    213. Ryan Getzlaf, C, Ducks

    214. Jeff Skinner, LW, Sabres

    215. Oliver Wahlstrom, RW, Islanders

    216. Oliver Kylington, D, Flames

    217. Shayne Gostisbehere, D, Coyotes

    218. Andrew Copp, LW, Jets

    219. Anthony Mantha, LW, Capitals*

    220. Mikhail Sergachev, D, Lightning

    221. Jakub Voracek, RW, Blue Jackets

    222. Tyson Barrie, D, Oilers

    223. Evgenii Dadonov, RW, Golden Knights

    224. Travis Konecny, RW, Flyers

    225. Blake Wheeler, RW, Jets

    226. Kevin Shattenkirk, D, Ducks

    227. Evan Rodrigues, RW, Penguins

    228. Joel Farabee, LW, Flyers*

    229. Alex Iafallo, LW, Kings

    230. Phillip Danault, C, Kings

    231. Elvis Merzlikins, G, Blue Jackets

    232. Jeremy Swayman, G, Bruins

    233. Andreas Johnsson, LW, Devils

    234. Ryan Ellis, D, Flyers*

    235. Ilya Mikheyev, LW, Maple Leafs

    236. Kaapo Kakko, RW, Rangers*

    237. Spencer Knight, G, Panthers

    238. Carey Price, G, Canadiens*

    239. Alex Goligoski, D, Wild

    240. Philipp Grubauer, G, Kraken

    241. Antti Raanta, G, Hurricanes

    242. Kailer Yamamoto, RW, Oilers

    243. Alexander Kerfoot, LW, Maple Leafs

    244. Patric Hornqvist, RW, Panthers*

    245. Gustav Forsling, D, Panthers

    246. Dominik Kubalik, LW, Blackhawks

    247. Jaccob Slavin, D, Hurricanes

    248. Alex Newhook, C, Avalanche

    249. Corey Perry, RW, Lightning

    250. Kasperi Kapanen, RW, Penguins

    Rakell has scored on 8.2 percent of his shots over his past four seasons. It’s not a slump anymore. He can’t finish…Puljujarvi would’ve been 100 spots higher a month ago but is ice-cold and has been demoted from Edmonton’s top line for now…Couturier is worth holding on most benches, though the Flyers reportedly haven’t ruled out season-ending surgery. Same goes for his teammate Ellis…Bastian’s 82-game pace in 26 contests since rejoining the Devils: 25 goals and 309 hits…I’m playing a hunch on Barrie. I predict Bouchard permanently takes the PP1 job away…Hopefully you sold Rodrigues before the clock struck midnight. His past 13 games: zero goals, two assists…I’ve kept Price in the top 250 as a hat-tip to his greatness, but he’s missed the entire season due to his substance abuse struggles, and his knee-injury recovery is going badly enough that his career is in jeopardy. He might not play at all this season…you have to pick up Yamamoto given he’s getting a look with Kane and McDavid, but the shot volume is non-existent, and there’s no guarantee Yamamoto stays on the line.

    ON THE BUBBLE: Dylan Cozens, Jeff Petry, Jonathan Dahlen, Trevor Moore, Pius Suter, Robby Fabbri, Cole Caufield, Alexis Lafreniere, Dmitry Orlov, Gustav Nyquist, Lawson Crouse, Alexandre Texier, Mackenzie Blackwood, Ivan Provorov, Bowen Byram, Alexander Barabanov, Jaden Schwartz, Sean Monahan, Paul Stastny, Brandon Hagel, Dylan Strome, Quinton Byfield, Sonny Milano, Erik Karlsson

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