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    Caleb Kerney
    Caleb Kerney
    Jun 23, 2023, 13:48

    Everyone knows about goals, assists, points, shots, hits and blocks, but that's just the tip of the iceberg.

    Everyone knows about goals, assists, points, shots, hits and blocks, but that's just the tip of the iceberg.

    Welcome to my Edmonton Oilers' Fan Guide to Analytics! This is a series where I will look at all the on-ice metrics that exist outside of the mainstream boxscore statistics. I'll apply the metrics covered to a current Oilers' player and tell you what it means.

    Everyone knows when a goal is scored or a big open-ice hit is thrown. Most people catch assists, at least the ones that lead to highlight-reel goals. But there is more to a hockey game than the points on the scoreboard. Enter the world of analytics. 

    Related: Oilers' Skinner Should Win the 2023 Calder Trophy

    In this introductory installment of my guide to analytics, I will be going over Corsi and Fenwick. Most hockey fans have at least heard of these two metrics. If you haven't, you've come to the right place. Something to note, I will not be going over the history of where the metrics came from, just what they mean in analysis of on-ice performance.

    Corsi is shot attempts. It includes shots on goal, misses and blocks. It's typically expressed as a percentage. Corsi for percentage (CF%) is calculated as a ratio of the shots on goal, missed shots, and blocked shots for versus the shots on goal, missed shots and blocked shots against. 

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    The number typically ranges from 45% to 55%. If a player's CF% is 50%, it means that when that player is on the ice the shot attempts for their team and the opposition is even. If it's above 55% then that player is really good at helping generate shot attempts for their team. This could be a result of generating a lot of shot attempts in the offensive zone, or preventing shot attempts in the defensive zone. 

    Related: Oilers Shouldn't Trade Broberg Right Now

    If the number is below 45%, that is not a good sign. When that player is on the ice their team does not have as many shot attempts, while the opposition then has more shot attempts. As a general rule, teams that generate more shot attempts score more goals. There is more to it, but that's a good starting point.

    Fenwick on the other hand is similar to Corsi. The only difference with Fenwick is it does not include blocked shots. If a defender blocks a lot of shots, but isn't very great otherwise the two numbers could be very different. Their CF% would be higher than their Fenwick For percentage (FF%). If both numbers are relatively close then that probably isn't the case.

    This table gives an overview of some Corsi and Fenwick related statistics. In this table I only included Oilers defencemen who had played at least 20 games in the 2022-23 season. Outside of games played (GP) and points (P) the analytics in this table are Dangerous Fenwick For percentage (DFF%), relative Dangerous Fenwick For percentage (relDFF%), CF% (already covered) and relative CF%. Each of these eight defenders have have a CF% higher than 45%. Two have a CF% higher than 55%- Evan Bouchard and Philip Broberg

    That is all that I will cover in this intro. Keep your eyes open for the next installment.