Three Eastern Conference teams - Carolina, Tampa and Buffalo - have clinched playoff berths. Two others - Pittsburgh and Montreal - look to be locks, barring a complete collapse. The same can probably be said about Boston, who have a six-point lead on the second Wild Card spot with five games to go.

If you do the math, that leaves one spot in the Metro Division and one Wild Card spot remaining. The Islanders, 42-31-5 for 89 points with four contests remaining, are 3-7-0 and on a four-game losing streak. In the Metro, Philly is 38-26-12, 88 points, one point behind the Islanders with a pair of games in hand, having gone 7-3-0 in their last 10. Columbus, 38-27-12, 88 points, with five games left, but are 3-6-1 in their last 10 and on a three-game losing streak. Washington, 39-29-9, 77 points, is making a late charge by going 6-2-2 in their 10 contests and have five games to go. 

Detroit, who looked to be a lock a while ago, are 4-5-1 in their last 10 games. They are 40-28-8, 88 points, with six contests remaining. Six teams within two points of each other. Four Metro teams battling for third place in the division and a playoff berth as well as possibly one Wild Card spot, with two Atlantic Division squads potentially in mix for that one Wild Card spot.

Answering the question posed in the title, the Islanders are the team that is the biggest risk of missing the post season. Just 3-7-0 in their last 10 and on a four-game losing skid, they are limping to the finish. New York has the fewest games remaining of all the squads and three teams from the division on their heels.  One positive is that they hold the tiebreaker over Philly and Columbus for most regulation wins, but far behind Washington. In addition, they lead all three teams in regulation + overtime wins, but with just a one point lead, they are holding on by a thread.