The Stars have a 6-1 road record this postseason, while Edmonton’s 3.43 goals against average at home ranks worst of all remaining teams.
Wednesday has more thrilling Stanley Cup playoff action on tap with the Stars looking to win three games in a row, while the Oilers look to even things up in the series.
It’ll be a tight Game four as the Stars very well could improve on their 6-1 playoff road record and put the Oilers in a tough spot for Game five. However, Edmonton has lost back-to-back home games just once since the start of March.
We’ve caught fire as of late with a dazzling 9-5 record over our last 14 picks that has been highlighted by correctly picking the winner of each game over the past five days. We also find ourselves on Day three of the Pad Stacking Challenge that comes out later today.
All betting lines are from BetMGM and are subject to change. Hockey is a difficult sport to predict so please gamble responsibly.
Bet: Stars ML (+115), Over 5.5 goals (-130)
Dallas flexed their offensive muscles in Game three with four goals on Edmonton’s Stuart Skinner followed by an empty net goal for a five goal effort. It was the fifth time this postseason that they’ve scored four or more goals.
Edmonton has struggled on defense at home this postseason with a 4-3 record and a 3.43 goals against average, that ranks last of all the remaining teams.
The Stars have made winning on the road their bread and butter as they finished the regular season as the league’s best road team with a 26-10-5 record.
Their road prowess has played well in the postseason with their only road loss being a 2-0 defeat in Game six of the first round versus the Golden Knights.
Edmonton needs more all-around support as they’ve been getting killed by the Stars offense, that has three forwards with minus ratings in the series. The Oilers have seven forwards at a minus rating with Evander Kane, Warren Foegele, Dylan Holloway, Ryan McLeod and Derek Ryan all combining for -12 through just three games.
If they want a chance, they will need to find depth scoring, which has been a strength for the Stars all season. If we don’t see anything in this department, then the series may get out of their control quickly.
This rings very similar to the Oilers last trip to the Conference Finals in 2022, when they lost to the Colorado Avalanche. Once again, the biggest strength for the team going against the Oilers was their depth scoring, while Edmonton‘s bottom six continued to struggle offensively without the help of Connor McDavid or Leon Draisaitl.
Edmonton will come out trying their best to stay alive in this series and should push this game to the over but makes me question if they can keep up with the pucks going past a struggling Skinner.