
In advance of the 2024-25 NHL regular season, The Hockey News’ Dallas Stars team website is introducing a series of player projections for the Dallas Stars. Yesterday we left off with Tyler Seguin, we keep going with Jason Robertson.
Jason Robertson was voted the sixth best winger in the NHL earlier this offseason, but is coming off of somewhat of a disappointing follow-up to a career year. With the loss of perennial linemate Joe Pavelski, will he find a way to get back to elite status, or will last year's season prove to be closer to what we should expect from him moving forward?
Career: 133 goals, 314 points in 292 games
2023-24 Statistics: 29 goals, 80 points in 82 games
Salary Cap Hit: $7.75 million through 2025-26
Summary of 2023-24 Season: After having a 109 point season, the 2023-24 season could look like a "down" year for Robertson on the surface. However, it wasn't his game that took a hit, but more of the Stars system that had a balanced rotation of lines. His time on ice and production took a hit, as did that entire top line, which ceded the highest production to Tyler Seguin's line and Jamie Benn's line at times during the season. But instead of letting that effect him, Roberson took it as an opportunity to grow a different part of his game, focusing on his defense and two-way effort. Though he is not the fastest skater, he uses his hockey IQ and positioning to defend well in his own zone and helps jump-start the offense when the puck starts moving through the neutral zone. Despite his lack of flashiness at times, Robertson still led the team in points by a fairly wide margin.
Projections for 2024-25 Season: There is no doubt that Robertson will be at or around a point-per-game pace. He is well above that in his career numbers and missed the mark last season by two points. With the retirement of Pavelski, Robertson will now have a new linemate to join him and Roope Hintz. It would be no surprise to see an uptick in both of their production with the addition of a speed element that Pavelski seemed to be lacking in his final season. Now that Robertson has several seasons under his belt, he will likely take on even more of a leadership role, especially with the additions of some young players to the roster who could learn some valuable lessons about how to emerge as a young star, while even possibly being his new linemate. As previously noted, Robertson's defensive game evolved tremendously last season and it should continue to make a positive impact on the scoresheet and the underlying stats when his line is on the ice. If Robertson capitalizes on more snipe shots that defined his game in his 100+ point season, he won't have any struggle to pass 90 points and easily threaten the triple digit point mark again.
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